Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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1–1 on winners spread MAE 6.3 2 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Houston @ Duke +1.7 130.9 56% 70–67 ✗
Nebraska @ UCF -3.0 162.1 39% 77–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.