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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
9–0 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
9 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
South Carolina State
@
Charleston Southern
|
+17.1 | 153.1 | 94% | 44–84 | ✓ |
Grambling
@
Southern Miss
|
+10.8 | 148.5 | 84% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Southern
@
Texas
|
+18.3 | 172.6 | 95% | 69–95 | ✓ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Kansas State
|
+33.1 | 167.3 | 100% | 49–108 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
LSU New Orleans
|
+4.8 | 155.8 | 67% | 83–84 | ✓ |
Buffalo
@
UMBC
|
-0.0 | 145.4 | 50% | 83–79 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
VMI
|
+0.5 | 151.1 | 52% | 70–86 | ✓ |
Villanova
@
Michigan
|
+21.5 | 152.1 | 97% | 61–89 | ✓ |
Clemson
@
BYU
|
+4.0 | 155.6 | 64% | 64–67 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.