Can I kick it? Yes you can. "Can I Kick It?" - A Tribe Called Quest
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–12 on winners spread MAE 8.5 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Youngstown State @ Wright State +8.2 141.1 77% 83–93 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee -3.1 171.9 39% 73–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Northern Kentucky +9.6 160.9 81% 71–96 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State -4.6 153.6 34% 88–73 ✓
Maine @ Vermont +13.7 134.9 89% 62–67 ✓
Elon @ Northeastern -1.0 168.8 46% 78–85 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ William & Mary +15.4 158.6 92% 89–97 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth +6.5 132.5 72% 73–51 ✗
Hofstra @ Stony Brook -9.1 138.5 20% 71–76 ✗
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +12.1 152.9 86% 66–69 ✓
Old Dominion @ Georgia Southern +4.8 164.1 67% 84–87 ✓
West Georgia @ Stetson -0.8 150.7 47% 86–95 ✗
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.7 175.2 63% 85–74 ✗
North Florida @ North Alabama +7.2 159.2 74% 105–91 ✗
UTEP @ Delaware +3.1 128.9 61% 70–69 ✗
Jacksonville @ Central Arkansas +10.3 140.2 82% 60–62 ✓
Kansas City @ South Dakota +8.4 159.6 78% 83–99 ✓
St. Thomas @ North Dakota -9.2 153.9 20% 91–80 ✓
Charleston @ Towson +3.0 134.9 61% 52–61 ✓
Arkansas State @ South Alabama -1.0 154.9 46% 87–91 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay +10.8 150.0 84% 72–74 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +11.5 161.1 85% 71–81 ✓
California Baptist @ Abilene Christian -0.8 136.6 47% 74–58 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +9.8 130.4 81% 59–65 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +9.8 151.5 81% 100–105 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock +2.2 135.0 58% 63–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -10.0 159.2 18% 105–106 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +3.1 155.9 61% 67–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Davis +5.2 170.9 68% 69–74 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State +4.5 150.6 66% 68–76 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Weber State +9.6 166.8 81% 80–91 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Tennessee Tech +7.4 145.1 75% 71–54 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +5.9 157.6 71% 88–76 ✗
UT Arlington @ Utah Tech -1.0 138.2 46% 56–52 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Bakersfield -4.1 153.8 35% 75–69 ✓
San Diego @ Seattle U +10.0 145.1 82% 64–75 ✓
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +5.2 151.0 68% 73–88 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal Poly -7.9 152.8 24% 86–66 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC San Diego +12.7 161.4 88% 84–79 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Portland State +4.8 159.6 67% 73–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Sacramento State +3.4 150.3 62% 69–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Washington State -19.7 156.0 4% 86–65 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +0.9 171.5 53% 88–93 ✓
Toledo @ Kent State +3.8 173.8 64% 84–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.