Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–6 on winners spread MAE 6.1 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Francis @ Wagner +0.1 123.7 48% 68–70 ✓
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +4.5 149.3 73% 74–85 ✓
Brown @ Cornell +9.5 149.9 80% 83–82 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +7.3 137.2 75% 82–67 ✗
Columbia @ Princeton +6.9 152.8 77% 67–71 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +4.3 142.5 65% 78–70 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University +5.8 128.2 69% 63–72 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +15.7 152.0 88% 67–83 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State +8.7 143.2 81% 61–73 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +3.8 139.3 68% 78–74 ✗
SE Louisiana @ East Texas A&M -6.9 133.6 22% 76–68 ✓
Hofstra @ Drexel +2.3 126.9 55% 55–60 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +0.8 144.3 57% 73–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +17.7 130.0 88% 59–79 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +17.8 157.2 89% 67–95 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word +1.0 143.3 51% 85–78 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +7.0 135.9 74% 64–63 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +7.9 156.5 78% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.