Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -2000 SFA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -17.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -17.7 (+2.3) | 130.0 (+8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -16.4 (+3.6) | 129.6 (+8.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -15.7 (+4.3) | 133.2 (+4.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -16.7 (+3.3) | 130.4 (+7.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MCN 76 – 59 SFA |
| Feb 3, 2026 | SFA 67 – 60 MCN |
| Jan 6, 2026 | MCN 66 – 64 SFA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MCN 95 – 64 SFA |
| Dec 5, 2020 | SFA 86 – 76 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-7 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 10-2 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#68) | -5.3 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#91) | -1.47 (#300) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#86) | -1.68 (#288) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#71) | 0.439 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 22.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 25.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.