Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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2–2 on winners spread MAE 7.5 4 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock +9.1 131.6 80% 56–54 ✗
Southern Miss @ Troy +10.6 139.7 85% 61–70 ✓
Penn State @ Michigan +8.8 157.9 80% 72–76 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Alcorn State -3.6 132.5 41% 61–70 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.