Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–7 on winners spread MAE 10.5 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.2 142.8 18% 81–77 ✓
Holy Cross @ Boston University +1.6 133.4 62% 59–69 ✓
Houston Christian @ SE Louisiana +5.8 137.9 74% 70–62 ✗
Nicholls @ UT Rio Grande Valley +1.3 147.5 58% 82–75 ✗
South Alabama @ UL Monroe -11.1 131.1 17% 66–77 ✗
Florida A&M @ Jackson State +6.2 147.2 71% 72–62 ✗
Iowa @ Ohio State +8.3 157.8 76% 65–82 ✓
McNeese @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -4.0 141.8 29% 74–73 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +3.2 130.9 62% 59–69 ✓
Incarnate Word @ LSU New Orleans -2.0 147.7 41% 74–58 ✓
NC State @ Duke +20.0 134.2 90% 64–74 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stephen F. Austin +6.1 126.9 66% 72–79 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alabama State +3.6 149.6 62% 80–69 ✗
Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -17.1 128.2 11% 63–42 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M -3.2 152.9 35% 82–98 ✗
Towson @ Northeastern +1.0 136.6 56% 75–65 ✗
UCLA @ USC -1.4 142.9 44% 82–76 ✓
Iowa State @ Arizona +1.0 154.1 61% 75–86 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -4.2 137.2 32% 66–41 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.