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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–3 on winners spread MAE 8.4 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Clemson +5.4 149.9 76% 65–85 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State -3.3 144.6 36% 81–82 ✗
Florida A&M @ Prairie View A&M -1.2 151.3 43% 78–67 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +20.7 127.7 90% 39–86 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +19.6 134.4 90% 51–67 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +5.7 132.8 75% 72–60 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +0.2 141.4 57% 75–85 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +9.3 145.3 81% 65–75 ✓
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -5.4 146.0 28% 77–57 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +16.3 155.2 88% 78–94 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Texas Southern +0.3 143.1 48% 80–77 ✗
Grambling @ Alabama A&M -2.8 139.8 32% 72–61 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +1.3 139.4 60% 56–67 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -0.6 139.1 44% 69–60 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +13.4 143.6 87% 62–66 ✓
Baylor @ Houston +11.1 136.2 83% 65–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +13.1 153.5 87% 75–87 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +15.5 147.8 87% 69–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.