Betting Lines
| Spread | CAM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | CAM -1000 NCAT +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +4 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CAM -14.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAM -13.4 (-9.4) | 143.6 (-15.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -12.6 (-8.6) | 143.0 (-15.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAM -14.4 (-10.4) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CAM -13.0 (-9.0) | 142.7 (-14.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CAM 90 – 72 NCAT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CAM 79 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAM 64 – 62 NCAT |
| Jan 5, 2024 | NCAT 76 – 62 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAM | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-9 |
| Away | 7-10 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#165) | -11.1 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#224) | -2.93 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#196) | -3.35 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#246) | 0.382 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAM | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.