We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 10.0 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Utah State @ UCLA +1.9 139.6 62% 47–72 ✓
Omaha @ St. John's +16.6 147.3 88% 53–83 ✓
UC San Diego @ Michigan +1.8 137.3 57% 65–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Texas Tech +13.3 144.2 85% 72–82 ✓
Baylor @ Mississippi State -1.7 143.4 42% 75–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Alabama +14.9 162.7 88% 81–90 ✓
Lipscomb @ Iowa State +11.3 144.8 83% 55–82 ✓
Colorado State @ Memphis -0.3 142.3 44% 78–70 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Duke +22.8 137.2 88% 49–93 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Saint Mary's +2.5 134.1 64% 56–59 ✓
North Carolina @ Ole Miss -0.0 152.9 54% 64–71 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Maryland +12.5 149.3 85% 49–81 ✓
Norfolk State @ Florida +19.0 148.3 89% 69–95 ✓
Troy @ Kentucky +11.0 148.4 83% 57–76 ✓
New Mexico @ Marquette +1.4 149.1 52% 75–66 ✗
Akron @ Arizona +12.5 162.3 85% 65–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.