Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–15 on winners spread MAE 9.3 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ UAB -1.4 166.0 41% 82–69 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -5.3 154.5 26% 98–71 ✓
Merrimack @ Iona +1.5 137.8 59% 60–61 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +5.3 149.7 72% 76–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -4.2 143.3 36% 77–62 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +12.2 137.6 86% 61–62 ✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart +7.2 134.4 80% 66–69 ✓
Marist @ Siena -0.3 130.5 39% 50–69 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary +1.0 143.2 55% 70–77 ✓
Campbell @ Charleston +3.5 152.5 68% 83–87 ✓
Towson @ Elon +3.1 137.1 65% 72–59 ✗
Monmouth @ Hampton -0.1 133.3 49% 63–65 ✗
Hofstra @ North Carolina A&T -7.8 143.9 23% 78–79 ✗
Stony Brook @ Northeastern +4.0 146.7 68% 95–80 ✗
South Alabama @ James Madison +0.7 139.1 54% 90–83 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia State +0.4 141.0 46% 62–69 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern -1.4 165.9 45% 85–68 ✓
Texas State @ Coastal Carolina +3.5 140.9 61% 70–72 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -5.8 157.6 39% 85–87 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +3.3 137.9 65% 77–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +8.7 139.7 82% 66–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +1.6 147.3 62% 79–62 ✗
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +5.1 142.7 71% 65–70 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood +8.5 144.0 81% 68–89 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +0.1 133.6 46% 59–51 ✗
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +6.4 151.7 78% 69–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Denver -3.4 155.0 33% 82–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +6.7 153.7 77% 67–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -1.6 149.6 46% 80–74 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +2.9 154.2 64% 65–81 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +6.2 143.9 76% 62–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +10.0 156.3 84% 76–86 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington -3.0 151.5 33% 65–61 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville -0.2 140.7 44% 66–74 ✗
Missouri State @ New Mexico State +9.0 143.8 81% 84–75 ✗
Florida International @ UTEP -2.2 145.7 40% 77–83 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.2 156.4 65% 61–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -5.9 141.1 28% 80–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +16.8 142.5 88% 71–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +14.0 139.5 87% 43–59 ✓
East Carolina @ North Texas +10.0 135.3 80% 63–59 ✗
Mercyhurst @ New Haven -1.3 126.1 45% 61–57 ✓
Stetson @ Austin Peay +12.8 145.1 87% 65–73 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +6.6 156.2 78% 71–86 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech -2.3 139.3 41% 76–82 ✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -4.2 146.3 38% 89–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure -11.7 153.7 17% 97–62 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers -8.9 144.8 26% 82–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.