Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -155 CAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +4 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -4.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.5 (+0.5) | 152.5 (+17.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.1 (+0.9) | 153.1 (+16.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.0 (+1.0) | 149.3 (+20.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -2.9 (+1.1) | 151.4 (+18.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | COFC 62 – 57 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2025 | COFC 87 – 65 CAM |
| Jan 17, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 CAM |
| Mar 1, 2024 | COFC 96 – 73 CAM |
| Jan 27, 2024 | COFC 90 – 67 CAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#182) | -2.2 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.22 (#150) | 0.14 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#156) | 0.16 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#127) | 0.522 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | CAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 33.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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