We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–11 on winners spread MAE 8.8 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio @ Old Dominion +0.1 151.5 55% 72–78 ✓
Radford @ High Point +15.8 162.0 88% 77–86 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -9.8 131.9 17% 73–47 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton +10.1 155.4 85% 66–82 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +10.0 147.5 83% 68–73 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +8.3 138.0 78% 83–76 ✗
Marist @ Fairfield -2.7 135.3 43% 60–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +4.0 138.3 69% 89–79 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan State +1.0 141.7 66% 82–85 ✓
Clemson @ California +0.1 134.2 53% 77–55 ✗
Utah State @ Wyoming -4.8 143.4 31% 85–83 ✓
Seattle U @ Portland -2.1 143.0 42% 53–54 ✗
Pacific @ Pepperdine -6.6 134.1 27% 92–59 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Stanford +8.5 146.8 79% 72–95 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -18.1 136.0 12% 88–54 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas +16.7 150.3 89% 75–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +7.9 147.1 78% 72–71 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +10.0 132.4 84% 63–65 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State +0.2 145.8 52% 58–77 ✓
Florida @ Texas A&M -1.9 162.9 41% 86–67 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky +1.1 146.9 58% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -2.7 150.4 40% 62–59 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +12.2 137.3 87% 57–65 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +4.9 148.1 73% 63–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +6.8 147.5 80% 53–72 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP -1.7 135.5 41% 88–91 ✗
Arizona State @ Colorado +3.1 160.3 65% 70–78 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +11.3 143.1 83% 59–69 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +4.6 143.7 76% 73–77 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +5.8 149.5 73% 91–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara +0.7 142.0 56% 79–84 ✓
Portland State @ Sacramento State -4.4 149.3 28% 74–73 ✓
Houston @ BYU +0.5 147.4 46% 77–66 ✗
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +14.2 140.6 88% 54–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i +6.2 143.3 75% 67–72 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +1.1 164.6 58% 74–80 ✓
USC @ Penn State -6.2 154.5 25% 77–75 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State -9.7 159.3 19% 82–61 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -3.5 134.1 42% 70–63 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +11.1 148.9 86% 67–64 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane -3.9 145.4 31% 75–61 ✓
Charlotte @ Memphis +6.2 143.5 76% 54–77 ✓
UCF @ Cincinnati +0.6 141.7 57% 72–92 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +9.0 139.0 81% 67–62 ✗
Rice @ UAB +9.8 153.3 80% 65–71 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +12.5 139.1 87% 70–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.