I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–14 on winners spread MAE 9.0 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Valparaiso @ Illinois State +8.6 137.2 79% 64–86 ✓
Murray State @ Indiana State -3.9 158.8 29% 74–72 ✓
Marist @ Merrimack +0.9 130.6 52% 56–81 ✓
Winthrop @ Gardner-Webb -15.9 148.3 12% 103–85 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Longwood -0.6 142.5 50% 79–74 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern +3.0 144.3 63% 67–84 ✓
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -12.2 151.1 16% 95–70 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State -2.0 154.2 45% 85–68 ✓
Youngstown State @ Oakland +6.4 155.8 75% 86–82 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Wright State +11.3 149.1 84% 77–74 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +2.9 145.5 68% 59–76 ✓
Central Connecticut @ New Haven -1.8 129.9 47% 81–76 ✓
Stonehill @ Chicago State +0.2 130.6 49% 55–68 ✓
Long Island University @ Wagner -5.2 140.0 25% 67–57 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Le Moyne +1.2 133.7 54% 57–58 ✓
Saint Francis @ Fairleigh Dickinson +5.7 139.9 77% 59–66 ✓
Stony Brook @ Towson +3.2 136.0 64% 57–69 ✓
Hofstra @ Charleston -0.8 142.1 47% 66–62 ✓
Monmouth @ Drexel +2.0 135.3 56% 93–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Northeastern -3.8 159.7 35% 94–67 ✓
Elon @ UNC Wilmington +9.3 149.2 81% 54–65 ✓
Georgia State @ James Madison +5.7 140.6 72% 79–81 ✓
Delaware @ Florida International +6.4 144.9 76% 68–66 ✗
UIC @ Drake +0.2 146.1 51% 80–70 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Morehead State +4.0 141.8 68% 66–73 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +11.2 140.4 86% 60–86 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts +4.7 144.6 69% 60–69 ✓
St. Thomas @ Omaha -4.3 150.9 30% 94–98 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana -2.2 135.1 36% 69–65 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +8.7 159.4 78% 79–95 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Arizona -8.3 137.2 22% 77–68 ✓
South Alabama @ Southern Miss -0.1 138.1 46% 84–78 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ SIU Edwardsville +0.7 133.7 46% 56–74 ✓
Little Rock @ Western Illinois -4.7 135.6 27% 77–58 ✓
UT Martin @ Lindenwood -1.0 136.5 43% 74–75 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -7.8 142.6 22% 83–66 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Missouri State +3.9 134.1 64% 79–78 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Belmont +5.5 133.5 71% 86–91 ✓
Oregon State @ San Francisco +7.5 141.7 76% 90–63 ✗
Memphis @ North Texas -2.2 136.5 39% 69–76 ✗
South Dakota State @ Denver +0.9 156.6 58% 61–79 ✓
Weber State @ Idaho +4.6 150.9 70% 83–72 ✗
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +1.5 147.1 66% 75–88 ✓
Tennessee State @ Southern Indiana -6.0 146.0 24% 73–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -3.8 145.7 36% 77–81 ✗
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian -2.6 132.0 35% 63–67 ✗
Hawai'i @ Cal State Bakersfield -13.1 147.3 15% 89–74 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC Riverside -6.4 146.3 28% 76–68 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State -0.3 156.1 48% 86–82 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal Poly -5.7 153.0 29% 73–79 ✗
UC Davis @ UC San Diego +4.8 142.6 72% 51–68 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara -0.0 136.9 55% 76–69 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.