Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WIU +270 LR -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +19 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | LR -5.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -4.8 (-14.2) | 132.9 (+2.1) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -4.6 (-14.4) | 135.9 (-0.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -5.4 (-13.6) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -4.7 (-14.3) | 135.6 (-0.6) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | LR 86 – 79 WIU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LR 75 – 61 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | LR 62 – 51 WIU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | LR 82 – 57 WIU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | LR 63 – 60 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 9-11 |
| Home | 4-11 | 7-6 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -18.4 (#360) | -10.4 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.19 (#358) | -1.54 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.04 (#359) | -2.03 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#361) | 0.433 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.