Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–1 on winners spread MAE 11.2 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Pennsylvania @ Illinois +17.8 147.7 87% 70–105 ✓
Saint Louis @ Georgia +1.4 166.6 57% 102–77 ✗
Idaho @ Houston +16.4 133.5 89% 47–78 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Gonzaga +18.0 150.6 89% 64–73 ✓
Santa Clara @ Kentucky +1.5 151.7 59% 84–89 ✓
Akron @ Texas Tech +6.7 150.9 71% 71–91 ✓
Long Island University @ Arizona +21.2 143.7 88% 58–92 ✓
Wright State @ Virginia +14.4 145.6 87% 73–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Iowa State +20.4 143.0 88% 74–108 ✓
Hofstra @ Alabama +10.5 157.3 82% 70–90 ✓
Utah State @ Villanova -1.0 143.9 42% 86–76 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Tennessee +8.4 148.6 80% 56–78 ✓
Iowa @ Clemson -2.3 131.0 37% 67–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ St. John's +9.3 130.9 81% 53–79 ✓
UCF @ UCLA +4.1 148.4 69% 71–75 ✓
Queens University @ Purdue +22.0 155.5 89% 71–104 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.