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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 7.7
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois
@
Houston
|
-0.2 | 135.8 | 56% | 65–55 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
Arizona
|
+8.5 | 164.8 | 81% | 88–109 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Duke
|
+8.7 | 137.7 | 72% | 75–80 | ✓ |
Alabama
@
Michigan
|
+8.3 | 174.0 | 80% | 77–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.