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Baseline Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–2 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State
@
UConn
|
-0.2 | 136.1 | 50% | 63–67 | ✗ |
Tennessee
@
Iowa State
|
+4.2 | 140.1 | 65% | 76–62 | ✗ |
Iowa
@
Illinois
|
+5.3 | 137.4 | 69% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.