He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–3 on winners spread MAE 8.5 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Carolina @ Clemson +5.9 150.0 76% 65–85 ✓
Southern @ Alabama State -3.2 141.9 35% 81–82 ✗
Florida A&M @ Prairie View A&M -0.8 151.0 40% 78–67 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +18.0 129.7 90% 39–86 ✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese +18.2 134.8 90% 51–67 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +5.7 133.2 75% 72–60 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +1.0 141.1 59% 75–85 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word +8.4 145.7 83% 65–75 ✓
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore -6.2 148.7 26% 77–57 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State +16.4 155.7 88% 78–94 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Texas Southern +0.7 142.5 49% 80–77 ✗
Grambling @ Alabama A&M -3.3 140.1 33% 72–61 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar +1.2 138.6 61% 56–67 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -0.5 140.6 45% 69–60 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +13.0 142.7 88% 62–66 ✓
Baylor @ Houston +10.3 137.7 84% 65–76 ✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic +12.2 153.3 87% 75–87 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +14.2 144.8 87% 69–94 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.