You'll work harder with a gun in your back, for a bowl of rice a day. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–2 on winners spread MAE 10.6 11 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ UConn +2.8 145.2 62% 59–67 ✓
Xavier @ Illinois +4.1 161.3 63% 73–86 ✓
Bryant @ Michigan State +15.2 148.7 88% 62–87 ✓
Liberty @ Oregon +4.9 141.2 68% 52–81 ✓
Dayton @ Chattanooga +0.3 155.4 46% 72–87 ✓
McNeese @ Purdue +5.7 140.6 74% 62–76 ✓
Bradley @ George Mason +4.4 133.0 54% 75–67 ✗
Arkansas @ St. John's +4.4 142.7 69% 75–66 ✗
Michigan @ Texas A&M -0.6 142.0 39% 91–79 ✓
Drake @ Texas Tech +7.3 126.6 78% 64–77 ✓
Creighton @ Auburn +9.1 149.6 82% 70–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.