Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–8 on winners spread MAE 7.3 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Drexel @ UNC Wilmington +10.8 136.4 85% 53–65 ✓
St. John's @ Georgetown -8.5 148.4 22% 95–83 ✓
Oakland @ Youngstown State +1.7 151.4 56% 85–83 ✗
Samford @ VMI -4.1 149.3 46% 78–58 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +1.8 150.2 61% 82–81 ✗
Stetson @ North Alabama +9.8 135.6 89% 70–67 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota -0.3 140.4 52% 61–72 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky +10.7 162.4 87% 72–81 ✓
Milwaukee @ Wright State +7.3 143.9 79% 70–76 ✓
Green Bay @ Purdue Fort Wayne +4.7 146.2 73% 72–54 ✗
Jacksonville @ Lipscomb +12.9 147.5 87% 57–76 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas +1.5 151.8 59% 83–85 ✓
Valparaiso @ Southern Illinois +9.3 143.7 81% 70–75 ✓
Evansville @ Illinois State +20.0 142.2 89% 47–73 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington +0.7 129.5 53% 51–63 ✓
Chattanooga @ UNC Greensboro -0.3 144.0 56% 72–77 ✗
Portland State @ Weber State +1.6 143.6 59% 95–90 ✗
Western Illinois @ UT Martin +16.3 137.1 89% 60–67 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +8.6 135.0 80% 55–59 ✓
Morehead State @ Lindenwood +8.8 146.9 83% 64–77 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Davis +4.3 158.6 70% 80–89 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Bakersfield -8.5 140.1 21% 81–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ UL Monroe -8.8 150.5 23% 87–73 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +7.0 146.0 78% 69–84 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Montana +3.8 140.2 65% 64–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock -2.4 143.7 34% 58–77 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.