Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UTM -1200 WIU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +7 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UTM -19.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -16.2 (-9.2) | 137.5 (-10.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -14.7 (-7.7) | 135.8 (-8.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -14.6 (-7.6) | 135.8 (-8.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTM -16.3 (-9.3) | 137.1 (-10.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | UTM 84 – 44 WIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTM 81 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UTM 85 – 83 WIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | UTM 62 – 59 WIU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | WIU 73 – 64 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTM | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-3 | 4-11 |
| Away | 8-6 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#164) | -14.6 (#345) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#143) | -2.77 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#162) | -4.00 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#166) | 0.374 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTM | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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