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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–8 on winners spread MAE 8.1 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Delaware State @ Howard +9.1 125.5 84% 58–84 ✓
Alcorn State @ Alabama State +5.1 149.7 82% 66–81 ✓
Grambling @ Florida A&M -3.1 141.2 38% 84–91 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Prairie View A&M +2.0 159.9 73% 61–73 ✓
Southern @ Bethune-Cookman +3.3 155.8 68% 77–73 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State +3.7 126.9 50% 74–70 ✗
South Carolina State @ Coppin State +0.1 138.4 48% 74–72 ✗
Houston Christian @ Lamar +5.4 130.2 69% 56–64 ✓
Navy @ American University -1.8 139.6 43% 51–65 ✗
Incarnate Word @ Stephen F. Austin +10.3 136.7 83% 46–56 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana +0.1 139.4 50% 79–76 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Northwestern State -2.1 141.6 38% 63–64 ✗
Nicholls @ McNeese +11.8 146.9 85% 68–94 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -4.2 136.1 33% 61–50 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas Southern +9.1 144.3 81% 51–84 ✓
Jackson State @ Alabama A&M +9.1 141.1 84% 91–100 ✓
Villanova @ Providence -3.0 154.1 36% 88–82 ✓
Marquette @ St. John's +17.7 152.7 90% 68–92 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan +9.7 135.0 83% 59–77 ✓
Kent State @ Buffalo +3.9 160.3 71% 87–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.