You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–9 on winners spread MAE 9.7 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Michigan +17.6 156.1 89% 72–86 ✓
UCF @ Iowa State +11.6 151.5 85% 57–87 ✓
LSU @ Florida +10.9 153.6 82% 61–79 ✓
NC State @ Clemson +3.1 139.4 69% 80–76 ✗
Saint Louis @ Duquesne -11.6 162.9 14% 81–77 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State -4.2 161.3 36% 107–101 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ St. Bonaventure +10.9 148.0 85% 70–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ St. John's +9.6 136.2 82% 60–65 ✓
Florida State @ Miami +13.3 156.4 88% 65–63 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Ohio +8.8 144.2 79% 77–80 ✓
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan -3.6 150.8 37% 72–54 ✓
Ball State @ Central Michigan +0.4 137.8 44% 68–67 ✗
Oklahoma @ South Carolina +0.9 147.4 54% 76–85 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +9.6 141.9 77% 80–87 ✓
Evansville @ UIC +8.7 132.0 83% 49–76 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.4 153.2 71% 65–68 ✓
Rutgers @ Iowa +17.0 141.1 90% 62–68 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming +2.7 145.7 64% 81–65 ✗
UT Martin @ Southeast Missouri State -2.3 136.3 40% 50–66 ✗
Michigan State @ Oregon -8.1 135.4 20% 68–52 ✓
Texas Tech @ Baylor -0.4 148.9 51% 92–73 ✓
Georgia @ Missouri -3.5 159.8 39% 74–72 ✓
Utah @ Kansas State +7.0 159.6 74% 78–81 ✓
SMU @ Wake Forest -0.9 149.8 50% 91–79 ✓
Air Force @ Colorado State +16.9 134.2 90% 52–81 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -1.5 151.0 42% 78–66 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Arkansas +1.5 172.4 58% 68–93 ✓
Purdue @ UCLA -4.9 141.3 39% 67–69 ✗
San José State @ Nevada +13.3 141.4 87% 54–87 ✓
UNLV @ Utah State +17.0 155.3 89% 86–76 ✗
Kansas @ Colorado -6.0 149.6 33% 75–69 ✓
Lafayette @ Boston University +4.8 143.7 71% 73–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate +0.0 140.4 41% 83–69 ✗
Samford @ Wofford +5.1 149.6 73% 78–88 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ VMI -1.7 146.0 38% 85–78 ✓
Dayton @ La Salle -7.2 136.1 24% 64–67 ✗
Radford @ Winthrop +11.8 156.9 86% 75–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.