This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–13 on winners spread MAE 9.4 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Florida @ UAB -0.7 163.7 49% 82–69 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State -4.2 153.6 36% 98–71 ✓
Merrimack @ Iona +1.8 135.8 60% 60–61 ✓
Milwaukee @ Robert Morris +4.7 150.0 73% 76–88 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's -3.0 142.6 36% 77–62 ✓
Niagara @ Fairfield +11.8 137.4 88% 61–62 ✓
Canisius @ Sacred Heart +7.7 137.3 80% 66–69 ✓
Marist @ Siena -0.4 127.6 31% 50–69 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary +1.9 144.4 54% 70–77 ✓
Campbell @ Charleston +2.9 151.4 67% 83–87 ✓
Towson @ Elon +3.2 136.9 63% 72–59 ✗
Monmouth @ Hampton +0.2 132.5 49% 63–65 ✓
Hofstra @ North Carolina A&T -7.5 144.9 22% 78–79 ✗
Stony Brook @ Northeastern +3.7 146.7 64% 95–80 ✗
South Alabama @ James Madison +0.9 138.2 53% 90–83 ✗
Southern Miss @ Georgia State +0.5 139.6 51% 62–69 ✓
Arkansas State @ Georgia Southern -1.2 164.2 47% 85–68 ✓
Texas State @ Coastal Carolina +3.7 139.7 62% 70–72 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ North Florida -5.0 158.2 37% 85–87 ✗
Bellarmine @ Jacksonville +3.0 139.5 64% 77–70 ✗
Western Illinois @ Morehead State +8.7 138.6 82% 66–71 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +1.8 147.1 67% 79–62 ✗
Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State +5.0 143.5 71% 65–70 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Lindenwood +8.9 140.7 80% 68–89 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana -0.2 131.5 45% 59–51 ✓
South Dakota State @ St. Thomas +6.2 150.8 78% 69–74 ✓
North Dakota State @ Denver -3.0 154.2 41% 82–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +5.7 155.7 73% 67–107 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Davis -1.8 150.2 45% 80–74 ✓
Weber State @ Montana +3.0 153.0 66% 65–81 ✓
Idaho State @ Montana State +5.7 142.9 75% 62–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +9.4 151.7 84% 76–86 ✓
Portland State @ Eastern Washington -2.3 150.6 36% 65–61 ✓
Tennessee State @ SIU Edwardsville -0.2 140.0 44% 66–74 ✗
Missouri State @ New Mexico State +8.0 145.2 79% 84–75 ✗
Florida International @ UTEP -1.9 144.3 41% 77–83 ✗
Long Beach State @ Cal State Fullerton +3.6 155.4 65% 61–71 ✓
UC Irvine @ UC Riverside -6.0 139.4 27% 80–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Hawai'i +16.6 139.6 88% 71–98 ✓
UL Monroe @ App State +14.3 140.2 88% 43–59 ✓
East Carolina @ North Texas +10.1 131.7 80% 63–59 ✗
Mercyhurst @ New Haven -0.2 124.3 43% 61–57 ✓
Stetson @ Austin Peay +13.0 144.4 86% 65–73 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +6.1 154.2 78% 71–86 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech -2.7 137.9 40% 76–82 ✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro -3.9 144.3 33% 89–66 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure -11.3 152.3 16% 97–62 ✓
Indiana @ Rutgers -8.6 144.6 21% 82–59 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.