Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–13 on winners spread MAE 8.7 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ohio @ Old Dominion -0.2 150.5 53% 72–78 ✗
Radford @ High Point +14.3 158.8 88% 77–86 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -10.1 135.6 15% 73–47 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Fullerton +10.1 153.6 85% 66–82 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +8.5 148.3 82% 68–73 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Iona +6.7 136.4 76% 83–76 ✗
Marist @ Fairfield -2.8 132.9 39% 60–63 ✗
UMass Lowell @ UAlbany +3.9 138.6 66% 89–79 ✗
Illinois @ Michigan State +2.5 142.9 63% 82–85 ✓
Clemson @ California +0.1 134.2 51% 77–55 ✗
Utah State @ Wyoming -5.6 143.6 32% 85–83 ✓
Seattle U @ Portland -1.4 139.2 47% 53–54 ✗
Pacific @ Pepperdine -6.5 136.3 26% 92–59 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Stanford +7.7 144.6 76% 72–95 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -18.4 135.3 11% 88–54 ✓
Oral Roberts @ St. Thomas +17.2 147.6 89% 75–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Montana State +6.9 145.8 77% 72–71 ✗
Abilene Christian @ California Baptist +10.1 133.4 84% 63–65 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville State +0.3 143.7 49% 58–77 ✓
Florida @ Texas A&M +0.6 163.1 50% 86–67 ✗
Tennessee @ Kentucky +1.9 146.6 64% 71–74 ✓
Tarleton State @ Southern Utah -2.5 150.4 45% 62–59 ✓
San José State @ Colorado State +12.5 137.7 87% 57–65 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +5.1 147.0 75% 63–83 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Weber State +6.6 148.6 80% 53–72 ✓
New Mexico State @ UTEP -2.0 133.8 42% 88–91 ✗
Arizona State @ Colorado +2.9 154.7 66% 70–78 ✓
Fresno State @ Nevada +10.6 143.9 83% 59–69 ✓
Washington @ UCLA +5.1 143.1 79% 73–77 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +5.6 150.4 73% 91–90 ✗
UC Irvine @ UC Santa Barbara +1.6 141.0 59% 79–84 ✓
Portland State @ Sacramento State -4.2 144.7 28% 74–73 ✓
Houston @ BYU +1.3 147.9 50% 77–66 ✗
San Francisco @ Saint Mary's +12.8 141.4 87% 54–79 ✓
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i +6.8 140.2 75% 67–72 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +1.8 164.4 58% 74–80 ✓
USC @ Penn State -5.5 153.6 25% 77–75 ✓
Michigan @ Ohio State -8.7 157.8 19% 82–61 ✓
Texas Tech @ West Virginia -3.6 133.2 39% 70–63 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +11.3 149.3 86% 67–64 ✗
Wichita State @ Tulane -4.8 144.8 34% 75–61 ✓
Charlotte @ Memphis +6.9 143.8 76% 54–77 ✓
UCF @ Cincinnati +0.2 138.1 55% 72–92 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +9.8 139.0 82% 67–62 ✗
Rice @ UAB +9.5 151.9 82% 65–71 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +11.0 139.9 87% 70–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.