And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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18–7 on winners spread MAE 10.0 25 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
South Carolina State @ Delaware State +0.4 131.0 48% 61–59 ✗
Duke @ NC State -10.5 149.6 18% 93–64 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Maryland Eastern Shore +3.3 132.9 65% 77–73 ✗
Coppin State @ Howard +18.0 141.0 91% 70–90 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Cleveland State +1.7 165.6 67% 93–101 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Incarnate Word -7.3 143.0 25% 76–68 ✓
Northwestern State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +10.1 134.9 86% 62–74 ✓
McNeese @ Nicholls -8.1 141.0 20% 75–65 ✓
SE Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +8.0 138.1 81% 82–78 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.3 133.5 81% 71–84 ✓
Montana State @ Northern Arizona -7.2 142.7 26% 76–65 ✓
Montana @ Northern Colorado +5.5 151.8 74% 57–85 ✓
Lamar @ Houston Christian -0.9 131.4 48% 53–75 ✗
Iowa State @ Arizona +7.5 148.1 80% 57–73 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +3.2 151.8 71% 85–81 ✗
Weber State @ Portland State +4.4 147.5 70% 60–84 ✓
Idaho State @ Sacramento State +0.3 155.2 54% 65–83 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Maine -0.4 133.6 43% 67–56 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -4.1 136.5 26% 91–52 ✓
Bryant @ New Hampshire +1.8 134.0 60% 83–88 ✓
Tennessee @ South Carolina -8.0 141.9 20% 78–59 ✓
Georgia State @ Louisiana -1.2 130.2 47% 75–84 ✗
Alabama @ Georgia +1.1 184.8 52% 88–98 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Buffalo +4.8 146.2 71% 67–72 ✓
Towson @ Stony Brook +0.4 131.5 47% 69–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.