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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 10.5
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Duke
@
Houston
|
+3.6 | 130.0 | 66% | 54–51 | ✗ |
Creighton
@
Tennessee
|
+1.7 | 142.1 | 57% | 75–82 | ✓ |
Illinois
@
UConn
|
+5.5 | 154.6 | 70% | 52–77 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.