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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.8
22 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sacred Heart
@
UConn
|
— | — | — | 56–92 | — |
Cal State Northridge
@
Le Moyne
|
+6.8 | 144.1 | 76% | 97–75 | ✗ |
Coppin State
@
High Point
|
— | — | — | 51–93 | — |
Stonehill
@
Notre Dame
|
— | — | — | 60–89 | — |
Columbia
@
Villanova
|
+5.6 | 145.7 | 58% | 90–80 | ✗ |
Lehigh
@
Georgetown
|
— | — | — | 77–85 | — |
Campbell
@
Virginia
|
— | — | — | 56–65 | — |
West Georgia
@
Georgia Tech
|
— | — | — | 62–85 | — |
Vermont
@
Auburn
|
— | — | — | 43–94 | — |
Lipscomb
@
Arkansas
|
— | — | — | 60–76 | — |
SIU Edwardsville
@
Indiana
|
— | — | — | 61–80 | — |
East Texas A&M
@
South Dakota
|
+12.3 | 149.5 | 83% | 83–91 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
Minnesota
|
— | — | — | 57–80 | — |
UL Monroe
@
LSU
|
— | — | — | 60–95 | — |
UT Rio Grande Valley
@
Creighton
|
— | — | — | 86–99 | — |
Western Illinois
@
Pepperdine
|
— | — | — | 64–77 | — |
Oakland
@
Boise State
|
— | — | — | 43–87 | — |
Alcorn State
@
Utah State
|
— | — | — | 46–101 | — |
Seattle U
@
Eastern Washington
|
— | — | — | 86–93 | — |
UC San Diego
@
San Diego State
|
— | — | — | 58–63 | — |
Rider
@
San Diego
|
— | — | — | 68–67 | — |
Robert Morris
@
Delaware
|
+1.4 | 145.7 | 58% | 77–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.