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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.4
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eastern Illinois
@
Little Rock
|
+9.5 | 130.2 | 82% | 56–54 | ✗ |
Southern Miss
@
Troy
|
+10.4 | 141.4 | 87% | 61–70 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Michigan
|
+8.6 | 161.3 | 81% | 72–76 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Alcorn State
|
-3.2 | 131.7 | 35% | 61–70 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.