That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–12 on winners spread MAE 10.8 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ UAlbany +4.2 144.2 68% 65–61 ✗
Stony Brook @ UNC Wilmington +16.3 141.9 89% 70–80 ✓
Northeastern @ Elon +4.2 141.3 68% 60–71 ✓
Pacific @ Santa Clara +15.9 147.4 89% 49–83 ✓
Bowling Green @ Central Michigan +6.7 141.2 76% 71–90 ✓
UConn @ Marquette +7.0 145.2 79% 77–69 ✗
Notre Dame @ Miami -7.1 152.5 23% 57–63 ✗
Wyoming @ San Diego State +11.6 132.2 87% 61–63 ✓
Portland State @ Montana State +3.7 141.3 67% 73–74 ✓
South Alabama @ Louisiana -6.7 131.7 23% 62–58 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal State Northridge +9.4 150.6 84% 62–88 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Riverside +6.0 156.5 76% 62–80 ✓
Southern Utah @ Tarleton State +0.6 130.0 55% 58–75 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +6.7 146.2 76% 57–75 ✓
Kansas City @ Oral Roberts -2.6 137.9 38% 67–73 ✗
Denver @ Omaha +10.1 146.1 87% 69–78 ✓
Texas A&M @ South Carolina -5.8 131.0 25% 76–72 ✓
Arkansas @ Kentucky +9.3 154.6 83% 89–79 ✗
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +11.9 146.7 87% 65–94 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +6.2 155.5 72% 82–63 ✗
Syracuse @ California +4.3 150.0 71% 75–66 ✗
UNLV @ Nevada +5.2 135.3 68% 65–71 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Santa Barbara +10.4 137.3 86% 54–85 ✓
Portland @ Pepperdine +9.2 148.4 85% 84–64 ✗
Washington State @ San Francisco +5.4 147.1 71% 51–75 ✓
Gonzaga @ Saint Mary's +0.1 147.2 53% 58–62 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +9.9 140.7 84% 57–82 ✓
Ohio State @ Illinois +5.0 158.1 70% 79–87 ✓
Fairfield @ Iona +4.2 139.2 69% 64–87 ✓
West Virginia @ Cincinnati +1.0 124.6 55% 63–50 ✗
Tulsa @ Tulane +9.4 141.9 85% 56–59 ✓
South Florida @ Florida Atlantic +7.2 150.2 78% 72–94 ✓
Robert Morris @ Wright State +0.3 152.3 57% 64–66 ✓
Furman @ East Tennessee State +2.4 139.3 62% 69–72 ✓
Manhattan @ Sacred Heart +1.0 155.2 58% 72–74 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +1.0 127.7 58% 79–64 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Siena +0.0 142.4 48% 75–84 ✓
Memphis @ Rice -9.7 144.4 17% 86–83 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +9.1 148.9 83% 80–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Milwaukee +5.0 154.5 73% 81–79 ✗
Colorado @ TCU +4.6 134.7 70% 57–68 ✓
Bradley @ Northern Iowa +0.4 139.6 52% 69–83 ✓
North Dakota State @ St. Thomas +2.5 156.0 66% 62–79 ✓
Merrimack @ Rider -3.8 127.8 32% 66–64 ✓
Seton Hall @ DePaul +6.1 138.1 75% 57–74 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.