Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–7 on winners spread MAE 7.1 37 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Florida +12.3 155.3 87% 75–86 ✓
Purdue @ Iowa -4.7 153.1 29% 90–81 ✓
Kentucky @ Ole Miss +3.1 156.8 62% 84–98 ✓
Wichita State @ Charlotte -1.9 142.9 42% 66–58 ✓
Notre Dame @ Florida State +3.9 142.0 68% 60–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ Massachusetts +0.4 146.1 53% 73–71 ✗
La Salle @ VCU +15.8 141.2 89% 66–96 ✓
Davidson @ Dayton +7.5 144.1 78% 63–69 ✓
Drake @ Murray State -5.3 131.5 25% 55–45 ✓
Minnesota @ Penn State +8.7 142.3 80% 69–61 ✗
Western Michigan @ Ohio +8.9 147.9 82% 69–94 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green +6.2 146.5 72% 77–84 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan +0.1 145.2 48% 76–70 ✗
Buffalo @ Toledo +11.2 158.7 88% 74–87 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +14.2 154.1 88% 73–81 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Houston +19.2 135.4 91% 63–72 ✓
Utah State @ Wyoming -8.1 137.0 21% 71–67 ✓
Georgetown @ Xavier +6.9 137.3 76% 69–74 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ SIU Edwardsville +7.1 132.3 77% 41–66 ✓
Oklahoma @ Auburn +15.5 155.6 88% 70–98 ✓
Baylor @ Texas Tech +6.7 144.2 76% 59–73 ✓
Indiana @ Wisconsin +10.6 152.0 85% 64–76 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +12.3 140.5 87% 89–86 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Loyola Chicago -1.0 132.4 46% 53–77 ✗
Nevada @ Air Force -10.8 133.0 15% 74–60 ✓
USC @ Northwestern +4.0 142.9 66% 75–77 ✓
Michigan State @ UCLA +2.2 141.9 65% 61–63 ✓
Kansas State @ Arizona State +5.1 138.7 69% 71–70 ✗
San José State @ Fresno State -3.0 146.4 37% 94–91 ✓
Arizona @ BYU +0.5 154.6 56% 85–74 ✗
Boise State @ UNLV -3.7 139.0 37% 71–62 ✓
Holy Cross @ Army +2.4 140.3 64% 65–68 ✓
East Tennessee State @ VMI -3.3 137.9 36% 62–55 ✓
Oregon @ Michigan +6.9 150.8 77% 76–80 ✓
Butler @ Seton Hall -6.3 136.6 30% 84–54 ✓
Southern Miss @ App State +7.9 131.6 78% 58–60 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -8.2 149.3 20% 84–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.