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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–0 on winners
spread MAE 10.0
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rutgers
@
Oregon
|
+8.3 | 149.8 | 78% | 57–75 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Notre Dame
|
-6.2 | 144.4 | 26% | 75–60 | ✓ |
Valparaiso
@
Evansville
|
+1.2 | 140.7 | 58% | 69–79 | ✓ |
Maryland Eastern Shore
@
Howard
|
+11.3 | 147.1 | 86% | 62–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.