The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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3–0 on winners spread MAE 10.8 3 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UAB @ UC Irvine +6.3 151.4 77% 77–81 ✓
BYU @ Alabama +7.3 175.2 73% 88–113 ✓
Maryland @ Florida +3.8 153.0 67% 71–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.