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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 6.3
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
North Texas
@
Oklahoma State
|
+1.9 | 133.0 | 55% | 61–59 | ✗ |
Florida Gulf Coast
@
Cleveland State
|
+0.8 | 133.2 | 53% | 65–72 | ✓ |
Illinois State
@
Cleveland State
|
-1.9 | 134.2 | 43% | 79–68 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Loyola Chicago
|
+4.0 | 136.1 | 68% | 62–72 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.