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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 7.4
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
San Diego
@
Santa Clara
|
+15.0 | 151.0 | 89% | 70–98 | ✓ |
Portland
@
San Francisco
|
+11.1 | 141.8 | 87% | 68–73 | ✓ |
Pepperdine
@
Pacific
|
+10.1 | 135.7 | 86% | 69–74 | ✓ |
Oregon State
@
Washington State
|
+5.5 | 140.5 | 74% | 67–81 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
Saint Mary's
|
+11.9 | 134.1 | 87% | 76–93 | ✓ |
Washington
@
Indiana
|
+7.7 | 144.3 | 76% | 80–90 | ✓ |
Loyola Marymount
@
Gonzaga
|
+18.3 | 147.3 | 90% | 47–82 | ✓ |
Columbia
@
Cornell
|
+0.3 | 159.7 | 53% | 104–99 | ✗ |
Nebraska
@
Ohio State
|
+0.1 | 146.7 | 47% | 72–69 | ✗ |
Alabama State
@
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
|
+2.0 | 155.4 | 58% | 79–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.