Don't you understand that's not my problem? "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–5 on winners spread MAE 7.9 17 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Prairie View A&M @ Southern +3.4 159.6 63% 89–85 ✗
Oregon @ Rutgers -5.5 140.5 31% 85–88 ✗
Yale @ Brown -9.3 143.2 20% 70–53 ✓
Milwaukee @ Green Bay +1.5 144.0 59% 76–79 ✓
Dartmouth @ Harvard +4.8 142.0 70% 76–68 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Princeton +0.4 135.7 52% 76–78 ✓
William & Mary @ Charleston -1.0 148.9 45% 79–88 ✗
Lamar @ SE Louisiana -0.0 134.2 50% 52–60 ✗
Texas Southern @ Grambling +11.4 144.2 87% 67–84 ✓
Incarnate Word @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.6 138.6 51% 67–80 ✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls +10.3 145.0 84% 72–74 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +6.9 140.2 74% 64–66 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -9.4 137.0 16% 71–51 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian -2.7 129.7 34% 81–65 ✓
East Texas A&M @ LSU New Orleans +7.8 147.5 80% 73–83 ✓
USC @ Michigan State +9.3 150.6 80% 51–80 ✓
Massachusetts @ Ohio +2.6 148.3 64% 83–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.