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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
1–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.8
2 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Joseph's
@
New Mexico
|
+12.1 | 146.3 | 86% | 69–84 | ✓ |
Illinois State
@
Dayton
|
+6.7 | 134.1 | 75% | 61–55 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.