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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
3–1 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
4 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
+0.3 | 136.6 | 52% | 65–55 | ✗ |
|
|
+8.0 | 164.0 | 77% | 88–109 | ✓ |
|
|
+7.5 | 137.2 | 76% | 75–80 | ✓ |
|
|
+8.8 | 173.3 | 78% | 77–90 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.