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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 9.1
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Michigan State
@
UConn
|
+0.9 | 135.4 | 54% | 63–67 | ✓ |
Tennessee
@
Iowa State
|
+4.3 | 138.9 | 66% | 76–62 | ✗ |
Iowa
@
Illinois
|
+6.2 | 139.5 | 73% | 59–71 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.