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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
2–1 on winners
spread MAE 13.1
3 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-0.8 | 153.8 | 47% | 82–69 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.9 | 131.5 | 42% | 87–70 | ✓ |
|
|
-2.9 | 137.8 | 39% | 62–71 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.