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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–3 on winners
spread MAE 6.4
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bradley
@
Indiana State
|
-2.1 | 154.8 | 31% | 90–89 | ✓ |
The Citadel
@
Samford
|
+19.6 | 150.8 | 90% | 56–86 | ✓ |
Valparaiso
@
Missouri State
|
+4.1 | 142.8 | 72% | 73–72 | ✗ |
Belmont
@
Northern Iowa
|
+6.9 | 151.4 | 78% | 70–76 | ✓ |
Gardner-Webb
@
Charleston Southern
|
-1.2 | 146.8 | 59% | 63–72 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Presbyterian
|
+0.2 | 142.5 | 47% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Austin Peay
@
North Florida
|
+6.3 | 149.4 | 72% | 97–89 | ✗ |
South Carolina Upstate
@
Winthrop
|
+11.5 | 158.8 | 88% | 76–95 | ✓ |
Loyola Maryland
@
Holy Cross
|
+3.1 | 139.8 | 69% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Troy
@
App State
|
-2.9 | 130.5 | 35% | 69–61 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.