Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–7 on winners spread MAE 7.7 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Mexico @ Fresno State -10.6 163.4 16% 103–89 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming -4.5 136.8 31% 67–58 ✓
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana +1.5 141.2 49% 70–68 ✗
Utah State @ Nevada +1.8 139.8 55% 69–64 ✗
Miami @ Boston College +0.4 144.7 60% 68–78 ✓
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -4.2 143.1 27% 77–61 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky -0.2 143.4 56% 68–69 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +1.3 136.1 49% 68–66 ✗
VMI @ East Tennessee State +12.1 144.2 86% 69–84 ✓
Howard @ Yale +15.7 148.1 88% 65–93 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina -11.4 137.9 17% 90–61 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -6.1 148.8 21% 81–68 ✓
California @ Pittsburgh +15.5 156.8 89% 74–86 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +9.6 138.2 80% 68–53 ✗
Rice @ Tulsa -3.2 142.3 44% 70–64 ✓
Drake @ UIC -6.0 130.8 24% 70–74 ✗
Chattanooga @ Mercer +1.0 152.9 51% 94–99 ✓
Stanford @ Clemson +10.1 143.4 83% 71–85 ✓
North Carolina @ Louisville +1.8 160.2 56% 70–83 ✓
Villanova @ Butler +2.5 142.8 48% 73–65 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.