Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–7 on winners spread MAE 6.1 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Francis @ Wagner -0.9 123.8 54% 68–70 ✗
William & Mary @ UNC Wilmington +6.8 152.0 77% 74–85 ✓
Brown @ Cornell +8.9 152.1 81% 83–82 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Harvard +6.2 139.3 74% 82–67 ✗
Columbia @ Princeton +6.0 150.6 80% 67–71 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +3.2 141.9 52% 78–70 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Long Island University +6.0 129.0 69% 63–72 ✓
Dartmouth @ Yale +17.8 150.3 89% 67–83 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Northwestern State +8.7 144.2 82% 61–73 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +2.6 139.0 61% 78–74 ✗
SE Louisiana @ East Texas A&M -6.0 132.8 23% 76–68 ✓
Hofstra @ Drexel +2.0 126.2 61% 55–60 ✓
Jackson State @ Texas Southern +0.1 144.2 52% 73–81 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ McNeese +16.4 129.6 88% 59–79 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +19.8 161.8 90% 67–95 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Incarnate Word +1.6 145.6 58% 85–78 ✗
Georgetown @ Villanova +8.9 135.4 76% 64–63 ✗
Rutgers @ Penn State +7.7 156.5 77% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.