Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–14 on winners spread MAE 8.0 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ South Carolina -10.5 141.6 19% 70–69 ✓
Kansas @ TCU -4.1 130.4 36% 74–61 ✓
Xavier @ St. John's +8.3 142.8 81% 71–79 ✓
Longwood @ Radford +2.6 140.1 59% 77–74 ✗
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -13.3 157.2 15% 86–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +1.1 154.8 53% 61–53 ✗
South Florida @ Charlotte -0.4 142.6 58% 61–69 ✗
Syracuse @ Clemson +13.4 145.2 88% 72–86 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech +4.2 140.5 67% 64–71 ✓
George Washington @ Massachusetts -0.4 154.5 54% 61–74 ✗
Murray State @ Southern Illinois +0.7 140.6 55% 74–64 ✗
Boston University @ Navy +1.9 127.2 62% 47–62 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +2.6 138.1 56% 80–59 ✗
Lehigh @ American University +5.4 136.0 73% 67–68 ✓
Indiana @ Northwestern +5.2 143.6 75% 70–79 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -7.2 135.7 22% 74–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +11.9 137.9 88% 50–65 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +0.6 141.1 57% 72–76 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +0.5 143.5 46% 86–77 ✗
Milwaukee @ Wright State -0.8 145.1 47% 95–79 ✓
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro +10.7 145.9 83% 79–78 ✗
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +13.9 143.7 89% 58–85 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +15.1 134.8 89% 68–79 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +2.4 142.5 60% 61–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +14.7 125.9 88% 71–81 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State +0.6 142.1 57% 72–75 ✓
Temple @ North Texas +9.8 134.4 82% 67–76 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +4.4 145.3 71% 52–64 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago +8.9 151.7 81% 66–70 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -6.3 140.0 27% 78–67 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +3.8 139.4 69% 63–62 ✗
Kansas State @ Baylor +13.5 143.2 88% 62–70 ✓
Florida State @ California -1.2 143.7 42% 68–77 ✗
Nevada @ Utah State +7.2 140.0 79% 69–90 ✓
USC @ Nebraska +6.3 146.4 75% 78–73 ✗
Georgia @ Arkansas -0.2 136.9 57% 65–68 ✗
San Diego State @ Air Force -14.4 126.5 13% 77–76 ✓
Miami @ Stanford +10.5 148.2 87% 51–88 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +3.5 144.8 70% 58–85 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana -6.9 142.9 30% 89–74 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +5.0 144.2 68% 83–94 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +1.5 142.7 57% 86–85 ✗
UMBC @ UAlbany +4.1 154.6 69% 92–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine -11.0 139.7 18% 77–61 ✓
Marist @ Niagara -1.8 129.3 40% 67–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.