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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
31–6 on winners
spread MAE 7.2
37 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanderbilt
@
Florida
|
+14.1 | 154.6 | 87% | 75–86 | ✓ |
Purdue
@
Iowa
|
-4.0 | 154.4 | 23% | 90–81 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Ole Miss
|
+3.0 | 157.3 | 61% | 84–98 | ✓ |
Wichita State
@
Charlotte
|
-2.1 | 144.1 | 49% | 66–58 | ✓ |
Notre Dame
@
Florida State
|
+4.2 | 140.0 | 71% | 60–67 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Massachusetts
|
+1.6 | 148.8 | 58% | 73–71 | ✗ |
La Salle
@
VCU
|
+17.0 | 144.3 | 88% | 66–96 | ✓ |
Davidson
@
Dayton
|
+8.4 | 141.1 | 79% | 63–69 | ✓ |
Drake
@
Murray State
|
-5.4 | 126.5 | 19% | 55–45 | ✓ |
Minnesota
@
Penn State
|
+8.5 | 142.4 | 77% | 69–61 | ✗ |
Western Michigan
@
Ohio
|
+9.9 | 148.9 | 82% | 69–94 | ✓ |
Northern Illinois
@
Bowling Green
|
+6.6 | 149.0 | 75% | 77–84 | ✓ |
Miami (OH)
@
Central Michigan
|
-0.0 | 143.8 | 51% | 76–70 | ✓ |
Buffalo
@
Toledo
|
+13.2 | 158.4 | 88% | 74–87 | ✓ |
Ball State
@
Akron
|
+14.8 | 157.1 | 88% | 73–81 | ✓ |
Oklahoma State
@
Houston
|
+20.4 | 132.7 | 90% | 63–72 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Wyoming
|
-8.8 | 136.1 | 20% | 71–67 | ✓ |
Georgetown
@
Xavier
|
+7.9 | 140.9 | 80% | 69–74 | ✓ |
Eastern Illinois
@
SIU Edwardsville
|
+7.8 | 135.0 | 78% | 41–66 | ✓ |
Oklahoma
@
Auburn
|
+15.8 | 156.1 | 88% | 70–98 | ✓ |
Baylor
@
Texas Tech
|
+6.2 | 141.9 | 77% | 59–73 | ✓ |
Indiana
@
Wisconsin
|
+11.0 | 152.4 | 83% | 64–76 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Clemson
|
+12.6 | 140.3 | 85% | 89–86 | ✗ |
St. Bonaventure
@
Loyola Chicago
|
-1.5 | 131.9 | 46% | 53–77 | ✗ |
Nevada
@
Air Force
|
-11.5 | 130.7 | 15% | 74–60 | ✓ |
USC
@
Northwestern
|
+4.6 | 142.4 | 71% | 75–77 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
UCLA
|
+0.6 | 140.6 | 64% | 61–63 | ✓ |
Kansas State
@
Arizona State
|
+4.2 | 142.2 | 65% | 71–70 | ✗ |
San José State
@
Fresno State
|
-2.3 | 147.3 | 42% | 94–91 | ✓ |
Arizona
@
BYU
|
+1.1 | 153.9 | 52% | 85–74 | ✗ |
Boise State
@
UNLV
|
-3.4 | 137.8 | 31% | 71–62 | ✓ |
Holy Cross
@
Army
|
+3.8 | 141.8 | 72% | 65–68 | ✓ |
East Tennessee State
@
VMI
|
-5.7 | 138.4 | 27% | 62–55 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Michigan
|
+7.3 | 151.1 | 80% | 76–80 | ✓ |
Butler
@
Seton Hall
|
-4.6 | 134.3 | 33% | 84–54 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
App State
|
+10.4 | 132.1 | 81% | 58–60 | ✓ |
Milwaukee
@
IU Indianapolis
|
-7.7 | 147.7 | 19% | 84–80 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.