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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–4 on winners spread MAE 8.6 18 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
North Carolina @ Clemson	+5.9	147.7	72%	65–85	✓
Southern @ Alabama State	-3.1	142.9	34%	81–82	✗
Florida A&M @ Prairie View A&M	+1.1	148.4	41%	78–67	✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State	+18.3	130.5	90%	39–86	✓
East Texas A&M @ McNeese	+20.3	134.5	90%	51–67	✓
Northwestern State @ Nicholls	+6.8	133.9	80%	72–60	✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin	+1.5	144.4	63%	75–85	✓
LSU New Orleans @ Incarnate Word	+8.6	145.6	80%	65–75	✓
Howard @ Maryland Eastern Shore	-6.2	143.0	25%	77–57	✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State	+14.0	156.7	88%	78–94	✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Texas Southern	+0.3	143.4	47%	80–77	✗
Grambling @ Alabama A&M	-2.8	138.2	34%	72–61	✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Lamar	+1.3	139.3	58%	56–67	✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian	-0.6	138.4	42%	69–60	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell	+12.6	143.0	87%	62–66	✓
Baylor @ Houston	+10.9	136.2	83%	65–76	✓
Charlotte @ Florida Atlantic	+11.5	152.4	86%	75–87	✓
Fresno State @ Nevada	+17.2	148.0	88%	69–94	✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.