Well you know that it's a shame and a pity you were raised up in the city / And you never learned nothing about country ways "Not So Sweet Martha Lorraine" - Country Joe and the Fish
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–2 on winners spread MAE 12.5 10 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Chattanooga @ Middle Tennessee +2.1 150.0 56% 109–103 ✗
Saint Louis @ Arkansas State +6.0 153.7 77% 78–103 ✓
Wichita State @ Oklahoma State +6.7 146.5 72% 79–89 ✓
North Carolina @ San Diego State -3.1 140.1 33% 95–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ Santa Clara +13.1 159.5 86% 62–101 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Stanford +6.5 145.5 74% 70–87 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ American University -0.4 129.7 51% 83–72 ✓
UAB @ Saint Joseph's +5.9 154.4 65% 69–65 ✗
Samford @ George Mason +7.0 148.1 76% 69–86 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Dayton +3.4 145.9 66% 79–86 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.