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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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51–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 65 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Indiana @ Minnesota -8.4 135.5 24% 64–73 ✗
Southern Indiana @ Western Michigan +4.6 151.8 71% 74–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ James Madison +14.6 141.0 88% 62–67 ✓
Louisiana @ Lamar +15.2 132.1 86% 55–65 ✓
Drexel @ American University +4.5 140.5 60% 73–75 ✓
Cornell @ Towson +3.7 145.0 69% 80–93 ✓
New Hampshire @ Dartmouth +10.0 140.2 84% 68–69 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ South Carolina Upstate +3.3 139.7 62% 78–85 ✓
Southern Illinois @ High Point +13.4 158.2 86% 86–84 ✗
Presbyterian @ Wofford +7.6 137.2 70% 56–63 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Georgia Southern +1.0 139.2 61% 69–77 ✓
Southern Miss @ Radford -3.9 145.0 39% 82–75 ✓
Furman @ Elon +5.3 147.8 70% 97–88 ✗
Marshall @ UNC Wilmington +8.9 144.6 75% 69–70 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Queens University +14.6 151.8 88% 74–107 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida International +1.2 155.6 57% 83–89 ✓
Austin Peay @ Kent State +4.9 152.3 75% 84–96 ✓
Maine @ Ohio +4.9 132.5 69% 57–79 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Hampton +7.7 139.2 72% 71–93 ✓
Navy @ Delaware State -10.0 132.1 15% 66–59 ✓
Coppin State @ West Virginia +26.0 135.4 91% 49–91 ✓
Hofstra @ Columbia +5.1 139.6 70% 70–72 ✓
Cleveland State @ Northern Kentucky +11.6 155.2 87% 80–95 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland +9.9 156.0 85% 92–101 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Detroit Mercy +4.2 159.7 74% 78–92 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Mount St. Mary's +0.5 147.9 49% 87–80 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Seton Hall +12.2 137.1 84% 61–77 ✓
Harvard @ Massachusetts +5.4 134.7 69% 71–78 ✓
Bucknell @ Akron +23.9 152.9 90% 77–97 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Stephen F. Austin +5.8 143.9 78% 60–73 ✓
Louisville @ Arkansas -0.2 164.8 55% 80–89 ✗
Clemson @ Alabama +8.5 163.0 69% 84–90 ✓
LSU @ Boston College -8.1 143.3 27% 78–69 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ UL Monroe +6.2 152.3 79% 52–66 ✓
Little Rock @ Central Arkansas +3.0 134.9 64% 47–85 ✓
Richmond @ Belmont +12.3 154.3 85% 84–76 ✗
Alcorn State @ Iowa State +28.3 158.3 91% 68–132 ✓
Tennessee State @ Alabama A&M -5.3 142.0 31% 53–80 ✗
Northern Colorado @ Omaha -6.1 157.6 32% 75–70 ✓
South Dakota State @ Northern Arizona +1.1 139.3 48% 75–62 ✗
Princeton @ Monmouth +3.8 141.0 69% 58–63 ✓
Idaho State @ Kansas City -8.1 138.7 20% 68–59 ✓
UMBC @ Georgetown +15.2 140.7 89% 81–90 ✓
Ball State @ Evansville +3.3 134.1 60% 52–64 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Illinois State +15.0 146.3 87% 78–89 ✓
Portland State @ South Dakota -1.3 152.5 49% 77–71 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Memphis +9.3 145.3 84% 70–86 ✓
California Baptist @ BYU +16.2 143.8 87% 60–91 ✓
North Dakota State @ Montana +2.3 151.3 57% 81–72 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Weber State +8.7 151.9 81% 66–92 ✓
Texas State @ Rice +3.7 133.9 62% 72–77 ✓
St. Thomas @ Montana State +4.4 140.4 66% 74–82 ✓
Northwestern @ Wisconsin +6.6 151.5 78% 73–85 ✓
North Dakota @ Idaho +9.4 143.7 82% 58–90 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Denver +5.6 149.8 78% 89–93 ✓
Pacific @ Air Force -5.8 133.9 26% 80–65 ✓
SMU @ Vanderbilt +12.4 159.1 86% 69–88 ✓
Virginia @ Texas +4.2 151.3 66% 88–69 ✗
Mississippi State @ Georgia Tech +3.9 151.8 70% 85–73 ✗
NC State @ Auburn +8.0 162.3 77% 73–83 ✓
Vermont @ Oregon State -0.6 147.3 59% 58–80 ✗
Utah Tech @ Santa Clara +24.0 141.1 90% 80–90 ✓
Utah Valley @ San Diego State +3.4 147.3 62% 66–77 ✓
North Alabama @ San Francisco +12.1 142.1 85% 65–63 ✗
UCLA @ Washington +1.2 140.0 64% 82–80 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.