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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
13–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.2
17 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prairie View A&M
@
Southern
|
+4.0 | 157.9 | 75% | 89–85 | ✗ |
Oregon
@
Rutgers
|
-6.4 | 141.4 | 23% | 85–88 | ✗ |
Yale
@
Brown
|
-8.0 | 143.1 | 19% | 70–53 | ✓ |
Milwaukee
@
Green Bay
|
+0.2 | 146.6 | 48% | 76–79 | ✓ |
Dartmouth
@
Harvard
|
+3.5 | 143.3 | 64% | 76–68 | ✗ |
Pennsylvania
@
Princeton
|
+1.6 | 137.6 | 58% | 76–78 | ✓ |
William & Mary
@
Charleston
|
-0.2 | 152.1 | 61% | 79–88 | ✗ |
Lamar
@
SE Louisiana
|
+0.1 | 135.3 | 49% | 52–60 | ✓ |
Texas Southern
@
Grambling
|
+10.3 | 144.7 | 88% | 67–84 | ✓ |
Incarnate Word
@
UT Rio Grande Valley
|
+0.5 | 138.3 | 47% | 67–80 | ✓ |
Northwestern State
@
Nicholls
|
+9.3 | 145.1 | 84% | 72–74 | ✓ |
Stephen F. Austin
@
McNeese
|
+8.7 | 137.6 | 83% | 64–66 | ✓ |
Alabama A&M
@
Mississippi Valley State
|
-9.7 | 135.9 | 17% | 71–51 | ✓ |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
@
Houston Christian
|
-2.3 | 131.0 | 32% | 81–65 | ✓ |
East Texas A&M
@
LSU New Orleans
|
+7.2 | 147.3 | 81% | 73–83 | ✓ |
USC
@
Michigan State
|
+9.5 | 152.3 | 83% | 51–80 | ✓ |
Massachusetts
@
Ohio
|
+1.3 | 153.1 | 61% | 83–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.